Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.088249 0.098661 0.109445 0.121420 0.134317 0.147761 0.162808
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.069084 0.084099 0.100577 0.119875 0.141724 0.165568 0.193424
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.056847 0.074813 0.095579 0.121038 0.151084 0.185099 0.226194
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.047076 0.066696 0.090489 0.120878 0.158058 0.201474 0.255393
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042660 0.064299 0.091599 0.127627 0.172957 0.227155 0.295864
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039212 0.062539 0.093034 0.134448 0.187820 0.252914 0.336857
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034140 0.057858 0.090048 0.135075 0.194527 0.268481 0.365459
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028751 0.052005 0.084839 0.132182 0.196238 0.277491 0.385797
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026626 0.050657 0.085628 0.137206 0.208251 0.299650 0.422909
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.024299 0.048690 0.085285 0.140486 0.217861 0.318771 0.456383
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021918 0.046332 0.084117 0.142401 0.225512 0.335345 0.486741
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.019591 0.043767 0.082381 0.143290 0.231621 0.349860 0.514537
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.019345 0.044921 0.086673 0.153536 0.251606 0.384008 0.569673
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016916 0.041906 0.084190 0.153585 0.257223 0.399046 0.600063
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015178 0.039932 0.083210 0.155814 0.265985 0.418532 0.636761
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013290 0.037379 0.081028 0.155992 0.271666 0.433809 0.667995
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012895 0.037802 0.083928 0.164269 0.289478 0.466257 0.723014
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012521 0.038209 0.086785 0.172525 0.307399 0.499107 0.778992
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011145 0.036211 0.085158 0.173310 0.313927 0.515805 0.812806
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009396 0.033053 0.081128 0.169857 0.313785 0.522882 0.833298
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008947 0.032920 0.082725 0.175883 0.328366 0.551299 0.883850
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008300 0.032190 0.083109 0.179811 0.339717 0.575175 0.928300
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007543 0.031046 0.082583 0.182102 0.348493 0.595385 0.967796